面向过程的城市公共安全风险监测评估建模方法

doi:10.11947/j.AGCS.2018.20180117

测绘学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (8): 1062-1071.doi: 10.11947/j.AGCS.2018.20180117

面向过程的城市公共安全风险监测评估建模方法

胡传博^1,3, 游兰², 林珲^1,3

1. 香港中文大学太空与地球信息科学研究所, 香港;
2. 湖北大学计算机与信息工程学院, 湖北武汉 430062;
3. 香港中文大学深圳研究院, 广东深圳 518057

收稿日期:2017-12-27 修回日期:2018-04-23 出版日期:2018-08-20 发布日期:2018-08-22
通讯作者: 游兰 E-mail:yoyo@hubu.edu.cn
作者简介:胡传博(1989-),男,博士,助理研究员,研究方向为物联网与智慧城市。E-mail:cbhu@whu.edu.cn
基金资助:
武汉大学遥感信息工程国家重点实验室开放基金（15I02）；国家973计划（2015CB954103）；内河航运技术湖北省重点实验室基金（NHHY2017001）；国家自然科学基金（41671378）

A Process-oriented Risk Monitoring and Assessment Modeling Approach in Urban Public Safety

HU Chuanbo^1,3, YOU Lan², LIN Hui^1,3

1. Institute of Space and Earth Information Science, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China;
2. Faculty of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Hubei University, Wuhan 430062, China;
3. Shenzhen Research Institute, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen 518057, China

Received:2017-12-27 Revised:2018-04-23 Online:2018-08-20 Published:2018-08-22
Supported by:
The Open Foundation of LIESMARS(No. 15I02);The National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program)(No. 2015CB954103);The Fund of Hubei Key Laboratory of Inland Shipping Technology (No. NHHY2017001);The National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41671378)

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 在虚拟地理环境（virtual geographic environments，VGE）的研究中，城市公共安全作为一种典型的应用，致力于实现风险的认知与表达。然而，针对城市突发公共事件风险评估的共享管理需求与即时性需求，尚缺乏一种面向过程的风险监测与评估的表达方法，难以提供快速、全面的决策支持。针对此问题，本文首先基于元对象设施（meta object facility，MOF）建模架构，提出统一时空框架下面向过程的风险评估建模方法，实现风险监测评估方法的共享与重用，并提供面向过程的即时风险评估个性化信息服务。其次，设计了风险评估过程管理原型系统，实现风险评估过程建模、注册、执行和可视化等功能。最后，通过试验模拟太原市燃气泄漏事件作为应用案例，验证了方法的可行性。

关键词: 面向过程, 风险评估, 风险监测, 过程元模型, 城市公共安全, 信息服务

Abstract: Urban public safety is a typical application to realize the risk cognition and expression in the research of virtual geographical environment.However,for sharing management and instant demands of urban public emergencies risk assessment,there is a lack of process-oriented expression methods of risk monitoring and assessment to provide rapid and comprehensive decision support.Therefore,this paper aims at proposing a process-oriented risk assessment modeling method based on the MOF meta-model modeling framework under a unified space-time framework.The scheme can achieve sharing and reuse of risk monitoring and evaluation and provide instant,process-oriented personalized information services for risk assessment.It is also designed that a prototype system for risk assessment process management to realize the functions of risk assessment process modeling,registration,implementation and visualization.Experiment through the simulation of gas leakage in Taiyuan City as an application case verifies the feasibility of the method.

Key words: process-oriented, risk assessment, risk monitoring, process meta-model, urban public safety, information service

中图分类号:

P208

胡传博, 游兰, 林珲. 面向过程的城市公共安全风险监测评估建模方法[J]. 测绘学报, 2018, 47(8): 1062-1071.

HU Chuanbo, YOU Lan, LIN Hui. A Process-oriented Risk Monitoring and Assessment Modeling Approach in Urban Public Safety[J]. Acta Geodaetica et Cartographica Sinica, 2018, 47(8): 1062-1071.

参考文献

[1] 林珲, 龚建华. 论虚拟地理环境[J]. 测绘学报, 2002, 31(1):1-6. DOI:10.3321/j.issn:1001-1595.2002.01.001. LIN Hui, GONG Jianhua. On Virtual Geographic Environments[J]. Acta Geodaetica et Cartographica Sinica, 2002, 31(1):1-6. DOI:10.3321/j.issn:1001-1595.2002.01.001.
[2] LIN Hui, CHEN Min, LÜ Guonian. Virtual Geographic Environment:A Workspace for Computer-aided Geographic Experiments[J]. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 2013, 103(3):465-482.
[3] 汪云峰, 白庆华, 周晓莉. 城市突发公共事件应急管理标准体系框架研究[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2007, 17(11):84-89. WANG Yunfeng, BAI Qinghua, ZHOU Xiaoli. Study on Standard System Framework Model of Urban Emergency Management[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2007, 17(11):84-89.
[4] JONES R N. An Environmental Risk Assessment/Management Framework for Climate Change Impact Assessments[J]. Natural Hazards, 2001, 23(2-3):197-230.
[5] 殷杰, 尹占娥, 许世远, 等. 灾害风险理论与风险管理方法研究[J]. 灾害学, 2009, 24(2):7-11, 15. YIN Jie, YIN Zhan'e, XU Shiyuan, et al. Disaster Risk Theory and Risk Management Method[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2009, 24(2):7-11, 15.
[6] 魏震东, 谭菁. 蒙德法在聚丙烯生产安全评价中的运用[J]. 石油化工安全环保技术, 2009, 25(6):30-35. WEI Zhendong, TAN Jing. Application of Mond Method in Safety Assessment of Polypropylene Plant[J]. Petrochemical Safety and Environmental Protection Technology, 2009, 25(6):30-35.
[7] HOURTOLOU D, SALVI O. ARAMIS Project Accidental Risk Assessment Methodology for IndustrieS in the Framework of SEVESO Ⅱ Directive[C]. Delft, Netherlands:European Safety Reliability and Data Association Seminar, 2002.
[8] JIANG Jiping, WANG Peng, LUNG W S, et al. A GIS-based Generic Real-time Risk Assessment Framework and Decision Tools for Chemical Spills in the River Basin[J]. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2012, 227-228(2):280-291.
[9] CALKIN D E, THOMPSON M P, FINNEY M A, et al. A Real-time Risk Assessment Tool Supporting Wildland Fire Decisionmaking[J]. Journal of Forestry, 2011, 109(5):274-280.
[10] 龚建华, 周洁萍, 张利辉. 虚拟地理环境研究进展与理论框架[J]. 地球科学进展, 2010, 25(9):915-926. GONG Jianhua, ZHOU Jieping, ZHANG Lihui. Study Progress and Theorectical Framework of Virtual Geographic Environments[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2010, 25(9):915-926.
[11] 闾国年. 地理分析导向的虚拟地理环境:框架、结构与功能[J]. 中国科学:地球科学, 2011, 41(4):549-561. LÜ Guonian. Geographic Analysis-oriented Virtual Geographic Environment:Framework, Structure and Functions[J]. Science China Earth Sciences, 2011, 41(4):549-561.
[12] LIN Hui, CHEN Min, LÜ Guonian, et al. Virtual Geographic Environments (VGE):A New Generation of Geographic Analysis Tool[J]. Earth-Science Reviews, 2013, 126(1):74-84.
[13] 林珲, 张春晓, 陈旻,等. 论虚拟地理环境对地理知识的表达与共享[J]. 遥感学报, 2016, 20(5):1290-1298. LIN Hui, ZHANG Chunxiao, CHEN Min, et al. On Virtual Geographic Environments for Geographic Knowledge Representation and Sharing[J]. Journal of Remote Sensing, 2016, 20(5):1290-1298.
[14] ZHU Jun, YIN Lingzhi, WANG Jinhong, et al. Dam-break Flood Routing Simulation and Scale Effect Analysis Based on Virtual Geographic Environment[J]. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, 2015, 8(1):105-113.
[15] SONG Yiquan, GONG Jianhua, LI Yi, et al. Crowd Evacuation Simulation for Bioterrorism in Micro-spatial Environments Based on Virtual Geographic Environments[J]. Safety Science, 2013, 53(1):105-113.
[16] AVEN T. On the New ISO Guide on Risk Management Terminology[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2011, 96(7):719-726.
[17] YUE Peng, ZHANG Mingda, TAN Zhenyu. A Geoprocessing Workflow System for Environmental Monitoring and Integrated Modelling[J]. Environmental Modelling and Software, 2015, 69(1):128-140.
[18] DEBETTENCOURT J, LARA M, YAMANE S, et al. Web Service:US, US 6279001 B1[P]. 2001.
[19] HENSON C A, PSCHORR J K, SHETH A P, et al. SemSOS:Semantic Sensor Observation Service[C]//Proceedings of 2009 International Symposium on Collaborative Technologies and Systems. Baltimore, MD:IEEE, 2009:44-53.
[20] YUE P, DI L, YANG W, et al. Semantics-based Automatic Composition of Geospatial Web Service Chains[J]. Computers and Geosciences, 2007, 33(5):649-665.
[21] CASTRONOVA A M, GOODALL J L, ELAG M M. Models as Web Services Using the Open Geospatial Consortium (OGC) Web Processing Service (WPS) Standard[J]. Environmental Modelling and Software, 2013, 41(1):72-83.
[22] VAN ZYL T, VAHED A. Using Sensorml to Describe Scientific Workflows in Distributed Web Service Environments[C]//Proceedings of 2009 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium,. Cape Town, South Africa:IEEE, 2009:375-377.
[23] LI Xiaoyan, DI Liping, HAN Weiguo, et al. Sharing and Reuse of Service-based Geospatial Processing Through a Web Processing Service[C]//Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Geoinformatics. Fairfax, VA:IEEE, 2009:1-5.
[24] CHEN Nengcheng, DI Liping, YU Genong, et al. Use of ebRIM-based CSW with Sensor Observation Services for Registry and Discovery of Remote-sensing Observations[J]. Computers & Geosciences, 2009, 35(2):360-372.
[25] MILLER F P, VANDOME A F, MCBREWSTER J. Meta-object Facility[M]. Dunfermline, United Kingdom:Alphascript Publishing, 2010.
[26] ISO. ISO/IEC 19508 Information Technology:Object Management Group Meta Object Facility (MOF) Core[S]. Switzerland:ISO, 2014.
[27] HAN Z Y, WENG W G. An Integrated Quantitative Risk Analysis Method for Natural Gas Pipeline Network[J]. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2010, 23(3):428-436.
[28] 石东伟, 陈冬娜. 高斯扩散模型在确定污染源位置中的应用[J]. 河南科技学院学报, 2012, 40(2):55-58. SHI Dongwei, CHEN Dongna. Application of Gauss Diffusion Model in Determining Pollution Source Location[J]. Journal of Henan Institute of Science and Technology, 2012, 40(2):55-58.
[29] HAN Z Y, WENG W G. Comparison Study on Qualitative and Quantitative Risk Assessment Methods for Urban Natural Gas Pipeline Network[J]. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2011, 189(1-2):509-518.
[30] 梁瑞, 张春燕, 姜峰, 等. 天然气管道泄漏爆炸后果评价模型对比分析[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2007, 17(8):131-135, 177. LIANG Rui, ZHANG Chunyan, JIANG Feng,et al. Comparative Analysis of Evaluation Models for Explosion Consequence Caused by Leakage of Natural Gas Pipelines[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2007, 17(8):131-135, 177.
[31] HODGES E V, MALONE M J, PERRY D G. Individual Risk and Social Risk as Interacting Determinants of Victimization in the Peer Group.[J]. Developmental Psychology, 1997, 33(6):1032-1039.
[32] OZEVIN D, HARDING J. Novel leak Localization in Pressurized Pipeline Networks Using Acoustic Emission and Geometric Connectivity[J]. International Journal of Pressure Vessels and Piping, 2012, 92(11):63-69.

面向过程的城市公共安全风险监测评估建模方法

A Process-oriented Risk Monitoring and Assessment Modeling Approach in Urban Public Safety

PDF

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 7

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价

[1]	吴华意, 靳凤营, 梁健源, 张显源, 邢华桥, 桂志鹏, 李锐, 向隆刚. 地理信息服务网络与协同研究进展[J]. 测绘学报, 2022, 51(6): 1050-1061.
[2]	慎利, 徐柱, 李志林, 刘万增, 崔秉良. 从地理信息服务到地理知识服务:基本问题与发展路径[J]. 测绘学报, 2021, 50(9): 1194-1202.
[3]	苗立志, 胥婕, 周亚, 程文超. 应用描述词汇约简的OGC地理信息服务演绎推理[J]. 测绘学报, 2015, 44(9): 1029-1035.
[4]	陈军,华一新,王发良,陈宏兵,刘万增,周治武,张毅. 数字国界构建技术研究与工程实践[J]. 测绘学报, 2012, 41(6): 791-796.
[5]	黄全义;朱海国;钟少波;郭际明. 主动式地理信息服务质量(QoAGIS)评估研究[J]. 测绘学报, 2009, 38(6): 0-481.
[6]	王浩喻占武曾武潘少明. 网络地理信息服务中的空间数据缓存算法研究[J]. 测绘学报, 2009, 38(4): 0-310.
[7]	王浩喻占武曾武潘少明 . 基于开销代价的网络地理信息服务负载均衡算法研究[J]. 测绘学报, 2009, 38(3): 0-201.