测绘学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 51 ›› Issue (7): 1294-1305.doi: 10.11947/j.AGCS.2022.20220091
徐天河1, 穆大鹏1, 闫昊明2, 郭金运3, 尹鹏1
收稿日期:
2022-02-14
修回日期:
2022-04-26
发布日期:
2022-08-13
作者简介:
徐天河(1975-),男,博士,教授,主要从事卫星大地测量学与数据处理方面的研究。E-mail:thxu@sdu.edu.cn
基金资助:
XU Tianhe1, MU Dapeng1, YAN Haoming2, GUO Jinyun3, YIN Peng1
Received:
2022-02-14
Revised:
2022-04-26
Published:
2022-08-13
Supported by:
摘要: 揭示海平面变化成因有助于深入认识当前的全球气候变化,并做出积极应对。空间大地测量技术及海洋浮标观测极大地促进了对全球及区域海平面变化成因的研究,有效弥补了海洋模式对长期趋势估计不准确的缺点,有助于理解海平面长期趋势及年际变化的驱动因素。本文系统回顾了近20年关于海平面上升成因的研究进展,分析了陆地质量迁移不同成分对海平面上升的贡献。多源观测数据表明,海水质量增加贡献了2/3的海平面上升,其余1/3由海水热膨胀引起。由于气候变暖趋势没有减弱,陆地冰川消融和海水热膨胀均伴随加速度变化。这些研究成果不仅极大地提升了对当前海平面变化的认识,而且有助于约束对未来海平面上升的预测。最后,讨论了海平面变化成因研究中面临的困难与挑战:①在局部尺度上,使用观测数据尚不能完全揭示海平面长期趋势变化成因;②2016年后,全球平均海平面平衡方程的闭合差显著增大。
中图分类号:
徐天河, 穆大鹏, 闫昊明, 郭金运, 尹鹏. 近20年海平面变化成因研究进展及挑战[J]. 测绘学报, 2022, 51(7): 1294-1305.
XU Tianhe, MU Dapeng, YAN Haoming, GUO Jinyun, YIN Peng. The causes of contemporary sea level rise over recent two decades: progress and challenge[J]. Acta Geodaetica et Cartographica Sinica, 2022, 51(7): 1294-1305.
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